No won. Smart money backed Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 30¢) and lost. Volume $4.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$201 on No from 64¢; the biggest loser gave up $196.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 1% · 5 0% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 14? | 54-55°F 54% · 56-57°F 25% · 52-53°F 15% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 54-55°F 19% · 52-53°F 17% · 50-51°F 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 66-67°F 41% · 64-65°F 37% · 62-63°F 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Seattle on November 14? | 58-59°F 43% · 56-57°F 34% · 60-61°F 14% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 14? | 72-73°F 53% · 74-75°F 24% · 70-71°F 19% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 14? | 19°C 61% · 18°C 24% · 20°C 17% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 14? | 46-47°F 59% · 44-45°F 27% · 48-49°F 12% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $201.11 |
| 0x54e0… | No | $26.80 |
| Psychomer | No | $20.50 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $14.35 |
| fregdf12f | No | $12.95 |
| aze3 | No | $11.75 |
| a999709777 | No | $11.52 |
| 0xbfa0… | No | $10.81 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $8.76 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | $8.58 |
| HellYeahTrader | No | $7.12 |
| anothercoin | No | $7.03 |
102 wallets held a position at the close. The 52 biggest winners took $462; the 50 biggest losers gave up $861. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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