No won. Smart money backed Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢) and lost. Volume $9.0k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
VAPAPORRA took +$61 on No from 50¢; the biggest loser gave up $65.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 13? | 26°C 100% · 27°C 0% · 24°C 0% | $50k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 13? | 78-79°F 45% · 80-81°F 33% · 76-77°F 13% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Singapore on November 13? | 32°C 100% · 33°C 1% · 34°C 0% | $19k |
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 13? | 16°C 100% · 17°C 0% · 18°C 0% | $18k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 1% · 5 0% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 13? | 80-81°F 55% · 78-79°F 27% · 82-83°F 13% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 13? | 48-49°F 95% · 50-51°F 5% · 52-53°F 1% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 13? | 15°C 78% · 16°C 24% · 17°C 2% | $14k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| VAPAPORRA | No | $61.08 |
| HellYeahTrader | No | $41.54 |
| 0xyahn | No | $29.70 |
| 241532532432 | No | $20.79 |
| 0xeb1b… | No | $20.55 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $15.68 |
| MrBPT | No | $8.36 |
| MoneyForSky06 | No | $5.37 |
| haiwenxiang | No | $4.58 |
| heyhighhhui2 | No | $4.22 |
| Thermomenal | No | $4.10 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $3.58 |
79 wallets held a position at the close. The 42 biggest winners took $266; the 37 biggest losers gave up $314. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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