Yes won. Smart money backed No (17 ranked wallets, average entry 56¢) and lost. Volume $15k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
DKNY1954 took +$268 on Yes from 12¢; the biggest loser gave up $341.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 99% · 26°C 0% · 27°C 0% | $42k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 15? | 27°C 99% · 28°C 0% · 26°C 0% | $25k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 15? | 25°C 100% · 23°C 0% · 24°C 0% | $21k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 15? | 18°C 100% · 19°C 0% · 13°C or below 0% | $19k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 15? | 7°C 33% · 6°C 24% · 8°C 20% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 98% · 18°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 15? | 13°C 58% · 12°C 15% · 14°C 13% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| DKNY1954 | Yes | $267.54 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $236.72 |
| NeverSnipe | Yes | $176.67 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | Yes | $157.60 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $152.42 |
| Bliss99131 | Yes | $146.89 |
| Orlando753951 | Yes | $145.85 |
| WrongBy1Degree | Yes | $120.18 |
| QuessTea007 | Yes | $105.11 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | Yes | $101.10 |
| 0x567 | Yes | $96.67 |
| maifeiyongzhuan | Yes | $92.61 |
190 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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