No won. Smart money backed Yes (17 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢) and lost. Volume $14k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$358 on No from 43¢; the biggest loser gave up $136.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.8M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 12? | 11°C 89% · 12°C 13% · 10°C 1% | $57k |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 30% · No 70% | $48k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 12? | 20°C 100% · 22°C 0% · 21°C 0% | $48k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 12? | 19°C 100% · 11°C or below 0% · 12°C 0% | $39k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 12? | 29°C 100% · 30°C 0% · 22°C or below 0% | $33k |
| Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 12? | 13°C 100% · 15°C 0% · 14°C 0% | $32k |
| Highest temperature in Milan on November 12? | 12°C 60% · 11°C 50% · 13°C 3% | $28k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 12? | 16°C 100% · 17°C 0% · 13°C 0% | $21k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $358.35 |
| fregdf12f | No | $94.46 |
| RamsBR | No | $67.89 |
| 0x567 | No | $66.78 |
| 2B9S | No | $53.81 |
| 0xeb1b… | No | $40.08 |
| liikujyfh | No | $38.17 |
| Leclerc04 | No | $32.37 |
| Adsdf2ck2kqs | No | $32.04 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $26.65 |
| fildoro | No | $26.29 |
| ghorrock | No | $24.96 |
151 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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