No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 13¢) and lost. Volume $4.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Benn123 took +$19 on No from 62¢; the biggest loser gave up $25.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 54% · 18°C 33% · 20°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 41% · 9°C 11% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 34% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Benn123 | No | $19.25 |
| denso | No | $15.01 |
| JimBobMagoo | No | $12.97 |
| 0xf762… | No | $6.93 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $4.24 |
| KaiLuo | Yes | $3.55 |
| heyhighhuii1 | No | $3.27 |
| penguin-1 | No | $2.81 |
| drcrcn3 | No | $2.40 |
| Alcaraz2026 | No | $1.49 |
| supermeow | No | $1.33 |
| Dreaded | No | $1.24 |
41 wallets held a position at the close. The 22 biggest winners took $82; the 19 biggest losers gave up $75. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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