No won. Smart money backed Yes (14 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $7.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $58k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 6? | 12°C 40% · 13°C 21% · 11°C 10% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 6? | 70-71°F 45% · 72-73°F 39% · 68-69°F 10% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Munich on November 6? | 3°C 19% · 6°C 9% · 7°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 6? | 86-87°F 63% · 84-85°F 33% · 82-83°F 2% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 47% · 27°C 32% · 29°C 13% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 48% · 12°C 43% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $98.80 |
| 0x0700… | No | $64.37 |
| 0x9506… | No | $41.62 |
| rubby-always-wins | No | $32.12 |
| Shiba-Inu | Yes | $22.80 |
| 0x3dd1… | No | $19.25 |
| Windollar | No | $18.71 |
| 0xeb1b… | No | $18.61 |
| 0xe28d… | No | $18.49 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $16.21 |
| StayFreshCheeseBags | No | $16.13 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | No | $14.69 |
101 wallets held a position at the close. The 52 biggest winners took $513; the 49 biggest losers gave up $748. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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