No 57% · Yes 43%. Smart money leans Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 44¢). Volume $1.3k, liquidity $35k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 46% · 19°C 26% · 21°C 18% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 53% · 27°C 31% · 29°C 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 45% · 76-77°F 38% · 80-81°F 9% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 62-63°F 47% · 60-61°F 37% · 64-65°F 7% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 53% · 19°C 41% · 18°C 5% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on November 7? | 50-51°F 53% · 48-49°F 41% · 52-53°F 6% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hfv | Yes | 236 |
| 0x65f722 | Yes | 193 |
| dp. | Yes | 132 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | 56 |
| Alcaraz2026 | Yes | 53 |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 39 |
| arsenal85 | Yes | 39 |
| LoneForestWolf | Yes | 38 |
| 0x418a…64c0 | Yes | 34 |
| newbie147 | Yes | 32 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 865 |
| fregdf12f | No | 53 |
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