Yes won. Smart money backed No (10 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $5.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$448 on Yes from 20¢; the biggest loser gave up $305.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in San Francisco on November 14? | 66-67°F 47% · 64-65°F 33% · 62-63°F 9% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Denver on November 14? | 54-55°F 18% · 56-57°F 16% · 50-51°F 15% | $14k |
| How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026? | 7 5% · 6 1% · 5 1% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Atlanta on November 14? | 54-55°F 54% · 56-57°F 31% · 52-53°F 14% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Seattle on November 14? | 58-59°F 47% · 56-57°F 31% · 60-61°F 16% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Miami on November 14? | 72-73°F 53% · 70-71°F 21% · 74-75°F 20% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on November 14? | 46-47°F 49% · 48-49°F 42% · 50-51°F 6% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 14? | 60-61°F 28% · 64-65°F 19% · 58-59°F 12% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | Yes | $448.26 |
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | $243.95 |
| HellYeahTrader | Yes | $180.95 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $119.09 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | Yes | $105 |
| Kowalskiy | Yes | $77.40 |
| dtyb | Yes | $57.96 |
| Windollar | Yes | $49.72 |
| 0x567 | Yes | $33.80 |
| 0x28bc… | Yes | $30.81 |
| 0x0700… | Yes | $28.67 |
| Zephyyr | Yes | $21.56 |
115 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.7k; the 50 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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