Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 77¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 27% | $67k |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 52% · 76-77°F 22% · 72-73°F 20% | $12k |
| Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 26°C 53% · 25°C 46% · 24°C 3% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 54% · 29°C 41% · 27°C 7% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on November 3? | 28°C 58% · 27°C 35% · 29°C 10% | $10k |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 3? | 11°C 64% · 12°C 30% · 10°C 8% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| JimBobMagoo | Yes | $193.27 |
| mashuuu | Yes | $150.16 |
| BobbythePug | Yes | $109.83 |
| TWCheng | Yes | $65.64 |
| ravendaren | Yes | $59.37 |
| writtensmoke | Yes | $59.34 |
| Monsterstappen | Yes | $57.42 |
| drewid | Yes | $53.56 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | $52.57 |
| 0x1315… | Yes | $48.78 |
| yrnmv | Yes | $46.82 |
| underwaterdruid | Yes | $38.10 |
118 wallets held a position at the close. The 56 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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