No won. Smart money backed Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $2.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
HellYeahTrader took +$13 on No from 90¢; the biggest loser gave up $7.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $8.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 31% · No 70% | $48k |
| Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 12? | 13°C 52% · 14°C 32% · 15°C 10% | $26k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 12? | 20°C 40% · 21°C 38% · 22°C 11% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 12? | 10°C 52% · 11°C 38% · 9°C 5% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 12? | 30°C 63% · 29°C 32% · 28°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 12? | 78-79°F 52% · 80-81°F 25% · 76-77°F 22% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Ankara on November 12? | 14°C or higher 86% · 13°C 7% · 12°C 5% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 12? | 15°C 56% · 16°C 24% · 14°C 12% | $10k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| HellYeahTrader | No | $13.10 |
| Eucadet | No | $4.86 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $3.68 |
| kjfghxd | No | $2.60 |
| terrordogchampion | No | $1.71 |
| hfrozendancer | No | $1.60 |
| 0xc8d6… | No | $1.25 |
| 0xace0… | Yes | $1.19 |
| MatrimChauton | No | $1.12 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $1.05 |
| fhilips202 | No | $0.89 |
| ghorrock | No | $0.86 |
25 wallets held a position at the close. The 14 biggest winners took $35; the 11 biggest losers gave up $33. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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