Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $6.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on November 6? | 13°C 94% · 14°C 4% · 15°C 1% | $56k |
| Highest temperature in Manila on November 6? | 34°C 55% · 33°C 39% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 6? | 29°C 62% · 28°C 20% · 30°C 14% | $17k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Busan on November 6? | 16°C 43% · 15°C 28% · 17°C 23% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 6? | 21°C 47% · 20°C 45% · 22°C 7% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 6? | 11°C 46% · 12°C 32% · 10°C 14% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 6? | 14°C 61% · 13°C 21% · 15°C 17% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $222.84 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $122.59 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | Yes | $112.38 |
| 0x955a… | Yes | $75.14 |
| WrongBy1Degree | Yes | $48.45 |
| arsenal85 | Yes | $32.55 |
| yrnmv | Yes | $27 |
| 0x5cf3… | Yes | $26.77 |
| meteomath | Yes | $26 |
| jeyz | Yes | $25.45 |
| ventyclob | Yes | $24.04 |
| esdeekid | Yes | $23.83 |
129 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 41 biggest losers gave up $736. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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