Yes won. Smart money backed No (11 ranked wallets, average entry 58¢) and lost. Volume $7.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$431 on Yes from 24¢; the biggest loser gave up $721.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 68% · 18°C 27% · 16°C 0% | $31k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 82% · 17°C 20% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 53% · 11°C 32% · 9°C 14% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 59% · 20°C 31% · 18°C 9% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 27% · 56-57°F 21% · 55°F or below 19% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | Yes | $430.86 |
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $286.77 |
| PintouOClima | Yes | $112.86 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | Yes | $97.94 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | $93.85 |
| Kowalskiy | Yes | $90.57 |
| Certified-Loser | Yes | $88.15 |
| hello.67 | Yes | $86.60 |
| bryant666888 | Yes | $79.20 |
| Descubra | Yes | $77.58 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $60.38 |
| 0x03a4… | Yes | $50.05 |
152 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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