Yes won. Smart money backed No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 64¢) and lost. Volume $4.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xeb1b… took +$238 on Yes from 32¢; the biggest loser gave up $419.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $15k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 80% · 17°C 20% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 56% · 11°C 22% · 9°C 19% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Austin on November 15? | 58-59°F 26% · 60-61°F 25% · 62-63°F 17% | $7k |
| Highest temperature in Los Angeles on November 15? | 72-73°F 67% · 70-71°F 19% · 74-75°F 13% | $6k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 63% · No 37% | $6k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 39% · 31°C 9% · 28°C 7% | $6k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 57% · 16°C 23% · 18°C 17% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | Yes | $237.90 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $196.52 |
| Bilberry | Yes | $129.58 |
| WrongBy1Degree | Yes | $106.46 |
| fildoro | Yes | $104.88 |
| Kowalskiy | Yes | $66.64 |
| fregdf12f | Yes | $65.50 |
| televisionloud | Yes | $53.52 |
| 0xyahn | Yes | $32.38 |
| lordZet | Yes | $32.24 |
| 0x973 | Yes | $28.20 |
| heyhighhuii1 | Yes | $21.48 |
99 wallets held a position at the close. The 51 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 48 biggest losers gave up $1.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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