Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 51¢) and lost. Volume $6.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $34k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 3? | 21°C 99% · 23°C 1% · 22°C 1% | $17k |
| Highest temperature in Shenzhen on November 3? | 29°C 65% · 28°C 49% · 30°C 4% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Dallas on November 3? | 74-75°F 37% · 76-77°F 29% · 72-73°F 10% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 3? | 28°C 99% · 29°C 0% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 3? | 19°C 94% · 20°C 8% · 21°C 0% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 3? | 11°C 66% · 12°C 31% · 10°C 8% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 3? | 17°C 93% · 18°C 5% · 19°C 0% | $11k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x65f7… | Yes | $378.60 |
| wallingj13 | Yes | $65.59 |
| rocky42013 | Yes | $61.42 |
| HellYeahTrader | Yes | $48.62 |
| manuel11431180 | Yes | $34.20 |
| 241532532432 | Yes | $31.80 |
| jeyz | Yes | $24.44 |
| Altergora | Yes | $24.04 |
| OutOfMemory | Yes | $19.80 |
| televisionloud | Yes | $18.74 |
| BobbythePug | Yes | $17.95 |
| meteomath | Yes | $17.15 |
90 wallets held a position at the close. The 50 biggest winners took $934; the 40 biggest losers gave up $439. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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