No won. Smart money backed Yes (16 ranked wallets, average entry 19¢) and lost. Volume $7.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$83 on No from 56¢; the biggest loser gave up $134.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 99% · 26°C 0% | $25k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 99% · 18°C 0% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Lucknow on November 15? | 29°C 99% · 30°C 3% · 31°C 0% | $10k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 15? | 13°C 59% · 12°C 20% · 14°C 16% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 50% · 11°C 35% · 13°C 10% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 60% · 9°C 28% · 11°C 11% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $83.37 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $65.94 |
| 0xyahn | No | $39.16 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $30.00 |
| shamubronze3 | Yes | $22.21 |
| whhisky | No | $20.06 |
| Thermomenal | No | $17.36 |
| Windollar | No | $16.72 |
| UN-Sure | No | $15.06 |
| fregdf12f | No | $10.50 |
| sshiShiba. | No | $9.01 |
| twobonclay | No | $8.09 |
128 wallets held a position at the close. The 59 biggest winners took $465; the 60 biggest losers gave up $597. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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