No won. Smart money backed Yes (14 ranked wallets, average entry 27¢) and lost. Volume $9.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0xeb1b… took +$154 on No from 57¢; the biggest loser gave up $185.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 97% · 26°C 1% · 27°C 0% | $33k |
| Highest temperature in Beijing on November 15? | 14°C 100% · 16°C 0% · 11°C 0% | $28k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 100% · 20°C 0% · 21°C 0% | $23k |
| Highest temperature in Taipei on November 15? | 25°C 100% · 26°C 0% · 23°C 0% | $22k |
| Highest temperature in Chengdu on November 15? | 18°C 98% · 19°C 1% · 20°C 0% | $16k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 99% · 17°C 0% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on November 15? | 30°C 99% · 32°C 0% · 31°C 0% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b… | No | $154.33 |
| 0x0700… | No | $130.65 |
| 0x8888B | No | $86.13 |
| fregdf12f | No | $82.76 |
| elfoelf | No | $72.40 |
| Thermomenal | No | $59.98 |
| doubleissellhalf | No | $56.40 |
| plm15 | No | $45.18 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $35.44 |
| hello.67 | No | $33.68 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $27.03 |
| lulac123456 | No | $26.26 |
106 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 41 biggest losers gave up $800. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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