No won. Smart money backed Yes (14 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $4.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
241532532432 took +$88 on No from 83¢; the biggest loser gave up $65.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 88% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 1% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 55% · 18°C 47% · 20°C 3% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 41% · 9°C 12% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 34% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 55% · 20°C 33% · 18°C 9% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 241532532432 | No | $88.36 |
| fildoro | No | $51.16 |
| cityevents | No | $8.30 |
| LornaPredicts | No | $7.80 |
| TakeYourTemperature | No | $5.72 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | $5.13 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | No | $5.08 |
| whhisky | No | $4.06 |
| Thermomenal | No | $3.43 |
| aze3 | No | $2.97 |
| dj30f383r09dg38foesa3tykj09 | No | $2.83 |
| syy-main | No | $2.48 |
66 wallets held a position at the close. The 37 biggest winners took $217; the 29 biggest losers gave up $227. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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