No won. Smart money backed Yes (12 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $3.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
gugagugagu took +$10 on No from 91¢; the biggest loser gave up $64.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 15? | 25°C 99% · 29°C 0% · 26°C 0% | $43k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 54% · 11°C 33% · 13°C 8% | $12k |
| Highest temperature in Chongqing on November 15? | 17°C 100% · 18°C 1% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 15? | 13°C 64% · 12°C 20% · 14°C 11% | $10k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 69% · No 31% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 62% · 9°C 33% · 11°C 9% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Paris on November 16? | 13°C 46% · 12°C 37% · 14°C 11% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| gugagugagu | No | $10.20 |
| 241532532432 | No | $9.20 |
| plm15 | No | $8.65 |
| 0x2706… | Yes | $7.41 |
| LKFA | No | $6.73 |
| neversolvent | No | $5.47 |
| Kowalskiy | No | $4.80 |
| mashuuuu | No | $4.79 |
| milibao | No | $4.57 |
| bingus007 | No | $4.55 |
| Yaabcd | No | $3.66 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | $3.39 |
48 wallets held a position at the close. The 34 biggest winners took $109; the 14 biggest losers gave up $149. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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