No won. Smart money backed Yes (15 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $11k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
LornaPredicts took +$127 on No from 15¢; the biggest loser gave up $435.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.9M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 15? | 16°C 89% · 17°C 12% · 18°C 2% | $14k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $14k |
| Highest temperature in Wellington on November 15? | 19°C 57% · 18°C 33% · 20°C 3% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Amsterdam on November 15? | 10°C 49% · 11°C 41% · 9°C 11% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in London on November 15? | 12°C 43% · 11°C 36% · 13°C 12% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $8k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 15? | 19°C 56% · 20°C 35% · 18°C 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LornaPredicts | No | $127.30 |
| 241532532432 | No | $106.91 |
| edgewarehouse | No | $69.09 |
| 0xbc3c… | No | $63.37 |
| fregdf12f | No | $63.33 |
| 0xeb1b… | No | $59.72 |
| mying | No | $52.32 |
| mashenddx | Yes | $47.41 |
| Adsdf2ck2kqs | No | $43.53 |
| sbel | No | $43.20 |
| fcwl | No | $33.06 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | No | $32.64 |
146 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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