No 70% · Yes 31%. Smart money leans Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢). Volume $3.7k, liquidity $639. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $58k |
| Highest temperature in Tokyo on November 7? | 20°C 48% · 19°C 36% · 21°C 8% | $15k |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $13k |
| Highest temperature in Hong Kong on November 7? | 28°C 57% · 27°C 31% · 29°C 17% | $11k |
| Highest temperature in Houston on November 7? | 78-79°F 46% · 76-77°F 38% · 80-81°F 10% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in NYC on November 7? | 62-63°F 48% · 60-61°F 41% · 64-65°F 8% | $10k |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on November 7? | 20°C 53% · 19°C 42% · 18°C 5% | $9k |
| Highest temperature in Chicago on November 7? | 50-51°F 53% · 48-49°F 41% · 52-53°F 5% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xeb1b3e | Yes | 940 |
| ChaosStake | Yes | 400 |
| rubby-always-wins | Yes | 210 |
| MoneyForSky06 | Yes | 197 |
| OnlyLuckNoBrain | Yes | 163 |
| Lex-tang | Yes | 120 |
| mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmud | Yes | 117 |
| edgewarehouse | Yes | 89 |
| DKNY1954 | Yes | 75 |
| 0x567 | Yes | 70 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 1k |
| 241532532432 | No | 299 |
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