Talent Gaming won. Smart money backed Weibo Gaming (5 ranked wallets, average entry 68¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $10.0M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $7.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 21% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $5.9M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 26% | $4.5M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $3.8M |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma | AS Roma 82% · Manchester United FC 6% | $2.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 77% · Mike Rogers (R) 24% | $1.9M |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC | FC Barcelona 83% · Aston Villa FC 5% | $1.8M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| hffhjzdg | Talent Gaming | $337.01 |
| king-c | Talent Gaming | $259.71 |
| 709927724 | Talent Gaming | $113.93 |
| 0x173e… | Talent Gaming | $69 |
| sumsum84 | Talent Gaming | $30.03 |
| Peng7 | Talent Gaming | $28.18 |
| weijian1127 | Talent Gaming | $18.66 |
| 0x41bb… | Talent Gaming | $16.57 |
| tonicaro | Talent Gaming | $14.43 |
| 0x4ea9… | Talent Gaming | $12.25 |
| 0x2fda… | Talent Gaming | $11.25 |
| 0x3d16… | Talent Gaming | $7.23 |
43 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $956; the 20 biggest losers gave up $473. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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