No 51% · Yes 49%. Volume $66, liquidity $2. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $318k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 74% · No 27% | $263k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $174k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $162k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $151k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $145k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $117k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 47% · No 53% | $110k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
| tinatina3 | Yes | 7 |
| Kirt4sh | Yes | 6 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 33 |
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.