Who is the smart money on “Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

No 82% · Yes 18%. Volume $21k, liquidity $965. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
82%
Yes
18%
Volume
$21k
Liquidity
$965

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 1,718 known shares

gummy-usb
entry 53¢ · P&L $5.2k · win 42%
yukonboi
entry 53¢ · P&L $11k · win 55%
bananabreakfast
entry 38¢ · P&L $6.2k · win 50%

No

1 wallets · 705 known shares

Serega-pro
entry 61¢ · P&L -$32k · win 58%

More Other markets

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
No 94% · Yes 7% · 24h volume $482k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No 97% · Yes 3% · 24h volume $184k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No 65% · Yes 35% · 24h volume $138k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No 100% · Yes 0% · 24h volume $91k
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 96% · Yes 4% · 24h volume $89k
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 78% · Yes 22% · 24h volume $88k

FAQ

What are the odds for “Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 82% · Yes 18%, on $21k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

live

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

18%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Other markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity	Change24h
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?	Yes 7% · No 94%	$482k	$325k	-1%
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 92% · Republican Party 9%	$292k	$7.1M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$184k	$134k	0.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 35% · No 65%	$138k	$135k	-1.2%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?	Google 94% · Anthropic 5% · OpenAI 0%	$136k	$130k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes 0% · No 100%	$91k	$307k	-0.1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$89k	$329k	0.4%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes 22% · No 78%	$88k	$53k	-21.5%

Smart-money conviction · Other

Smart-money conviction