No won. Smart money backed Yes (13 ranked wallets, average entry 46¢) and lost. Volume $1.3M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $814k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $224k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $217k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 26% · No 75% | $198k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $185k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $168k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $162k |
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