What are the odds for “Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?” on Polymarket?

No 96% · Yes 4%, on $701k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?”?

Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 64¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

No 96% · Yes 4%. Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 64¢). Volume $701k, liquidity $29k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
96%
Yes
4%
Volume
$701k
Liquidity
$29k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

12 wallets · 42,974 known shares

citra
entry 54¢ · P&L $35k · win 78%
AlphaBetaGamma2357whale
entry 59¢ · P&L $92k · win 53%
Raskellwhale
entry 35¢ · P&L $70k · win 61%
melonmanmwhale
entry 10¢ · P&L $56k · win 59%
tjawhale
entry — · P&L $142k · win 72%
GayPridewhale

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?” on Polymarket?: No 96% · Yes 4%, on $701k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?”?: Smart money leans No (5 ranked wallets, average entry 64¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

live

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Gadi Eizenkot 50% · Benjamin Netanyahu 33% · Naftali Bennett 9%	$10.0M	$1.2M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 94% · No 7%	$299k	$175k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$185k	$125k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 94% · No 7%	$144k	$144k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 89% · No 11%	$133k	$60k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$100k	$77k
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 73%	$98k	$34k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 18% · No 82%	$86k	$299k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction