No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
16 ranked wallets bought Yes at 12¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 16 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $270k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $241k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $148k |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | Yes 32% · No 69% | $84k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $76k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 36% · No 64% | $70k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $61k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 61% · No 39% | $60k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| steeplejack | Yes | 223k |
| 5711PatekPhilippe | Yes | 84k |
| 99problems123 | Yes | 68k |
| anoin123 | Yes | 68k |
| 0x88ae…809a | Yes | 68k |
| pretttttyboiii | Yes | 56k |
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes | 34k |
| Draffa | Yes | 25k |
| stony169 | Yes | 14k |
| TulipoII | Yes | 11k |
| 77pop77 | No | 24 |
| jjjjluuuu | No | 20 |
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