What are the odds for “Iran nuclear test before 2027?” on Polymarket?

No 96% · Yes 4%, on $281k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Iran nuclear test before 2027?”?

Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 8¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

No 96% · Yes 4%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 8¢). Volume $281k, liquidity $45k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
96%
Yes
4%
Volume
$281k
Liquidity
$45k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 1,031 known shares

Sorrymissjackson
entry 8¢ · P&L $25k · win 49%
UniLB
entry — · P&L -$582 · win 11%
whumpa
entry 5¢ · P&L -$9.2k · win 62%

No

7 wallets · 17,524 known shares

Talophex
entry 91¢ · P&L $43k · win 79%
forinnerpsandr1x11222whale
entry — · P&L $93k · win 85%
bigshort

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Iran nuclear test before 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 96% · Yes 4%, on $281k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Iran nuclear test before 2027?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 8¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

live

Iran nuclear test before 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

4.2%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Benjamin Netanyahu 50% · Gadi Eizenkot 34% · Naftali Bennett 6%	$13.1M	$1.3M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$305k	$174k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$172k	$125k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 94% · No 7%	$141k	$165k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 91% · No 10%	$132k	$79k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$113k	$45k
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes 28% · No 73%	$98k	$32k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 19% · No 82%	$80k	$301k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction