Yes 100% · No 0%. Smart money leans No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 14¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
12 ranked wallets bought No at 14¢. It’s 0¢ now — −100% on paper.
Track all 12 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $497k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 91% · No 9% | $342k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $325k |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $204k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $181k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 35% · No 65% | $131k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $102k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $101k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xb05c5a | Yes | 8 |
| 0x931d8c | Yes | 5 |
| 0x59b5…ffbe | Yes | 2 |
| 0x1bd4d4 | Yes | 1 |
| 0x5c5098 | Yes | 0 |
| 0x1b5f30 | Yes | 0 |
| 20260405 | Yes | 0 |
| K1mY0g4 | Yes | 0 |
| 0xdad6b8 | Yes | 0 |
| Saltyballs | Yes | 0 |
| 881112 | No | 39k |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | No | 19k |
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