Yes won. Volume $4.6k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $539k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $263k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 6% | $189k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $183k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $172k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $151k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $140k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Olcan | Yes | $57.75 |
| FishHunter | Yes | $22.80 |
| XBTmidcurv | Yes | $10.57 |
| Konfucious | Yes | $9.80 |
| likalaka | Yes | $6.80 |
| ToTheWindow | Yes | $6.07 |
| Poory | Yes | $4.43 |
| deuxgaules | Yes | $4.06 |
| 0xca75… | Yes | $3.60 |
| tinyyyyy1 | Yes | $2.40 |
| 0x2612… | Yes | $2.22 |
| Crabbing1 | Yes | $1.95 |
31 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $146; the 8 biggest losers gave up $522. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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