No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $1.0M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
399 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $12k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $10k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $646k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $571k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $437k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 20% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $297k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ahahahah | No | $2k |
| Meta-Ouroboros | No | $941.71 |
| TelegramTeleblog | No | $918.98 |
| JackSeraph | No | $845.56 |
| MikeMoore | No | $669.77 |
| Bla-485 | No | $618.90 |
| Lizrael | No | $586.75 |
| burrito338 | No | $475.98 |
| SirHarryOakes | No | $436.46 |
| Spade75 | Yes | $395.03 |
| Shmultz | No | $377.30 |
| yyyyyyy | No | $319.01 |