Yes won. Smart money backed No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 76¢) and lost. Volume $6.7M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
2,400 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $432k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $500k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $646k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $571k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $437k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 20% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $297k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| satoshiAncap | Yes | $307k |
| vrv | Yes | $14k |
| austintheory | Yes | $10k |
| Zz2025zZ | Yes | $8k |
| YannisZ | Yes | $6k |
| Magamyman | Yes | $6k |
| Blond-Classmate | Yes | $6k |
| 6557a | Yes | $6k |
| evilangel1337 | Yes | $5k |
| Irish77 | Yes | $5k |
| bidenfan69 | Yes | $3k |
| VLONA | Yes | $3k |