Yes 96% · No 4%. Smart money leans Yes (7 ranked wallets, average entry 95¢). Volume $38k, liquidity $56k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
13 ranked wallets bought Yes at 95¢. It’s 96¢ now — +1% on paper.
Track all 13 wallets ↗| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 9% · No 92% | $284k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $226k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $167k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $148k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $137k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 33% · No 67% | $136k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $105k |
| Russia x Ukraine energy ceasefire agreement by November 15, 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $88k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Votei14Voude22 | Yes | 11k |
| MissaoComFlavio | Yes | 5k |
| StupidMonkeyyy | Yes | 3k |
| MrNoItAll | Yes | 2k |
| Tenebrus7 | Yes | 948 |
| LulaVaiPerder | Yes | 913 |
| Te0n2 | Yes | 767 |
| G.laila | Yes | 600 |
| 0xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 577 |
| Jin-2026 | Yes | 200 |
| Pulser | No | 6k |
| GHOSTIS | No | 5k |
Politics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.