Yes 96% · No 4%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 95¢). Volume $93k, liquidity $47k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
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No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $198k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes 72% · No 28% | $182k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $160k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $149k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $129k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $119k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | Yes 9% · No 92% | $90k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $79k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | Yes | 16k |
| LulaVaiPerder | Yes | 8k |
| laureman | Yes | 7k |
| classified | Yes | 5k |
| scout | Yes | 4k |
| paddaa | Yes | 2k |
| browne | Yes | 2k |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 2k |
| balthazar | Yes | 2k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1k |
| tetrose | No | 22k |
| hugecaulk | No | 6k |