Yes 89% · No 11%. Smart money leans Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 90¢). Volume $298k, liquidity $29k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $313k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 19% · No 82% | $297k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $257k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $221k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 38% · No 62% | $193k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 25% · No 76% | $175k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $131k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $108k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MEPP | Yes | 21k |
| classified | Yes | 16k |
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | Yes | 13k |
| laureman | Yes | 12k |
| Tenebrus7 | Yes | 12k |
| mr.ozi | Yes | 8k |
| Saltyballs | Yes | 7k |
| LulaVaiPerder | Yes | 4k |
| DrNee | Yes | 3k |
| BigYahuu | Yes | 3k |
| Sofiamas | No | 14k |
| yedepp | No | 8k |
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.