Yes won. Volume $52k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 16% · No 85% | $439k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $309k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $252k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $238k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $214k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 41% · No 60% | $186k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 22% · No 79% | $182k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 85% · No 16% | $133k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| HerrieDavis | Yes | $217.24 |
| Halfa-Beta | Yes | $60.30 |
| CaptainCoinflip | Yes | $19.25 |
| wmart.pty | Yes | $13.31 |
| badatthis | No | $10.10 |
| 0x36da… | Yes | $10.05 |
| polio123 | Yes | $8.01 |
| qaz1234567890 | Yes | $7.50 |
| FenceStradler | Yes | $6.02 |
| 44444444ben | No | $5.56 |
| myfrenda | Yes | $5 |
| galhammerman | Yes | $4.40 |
52 wallets held a position at the close. The 29 biggest winners took $402; the 23 biggest losers gave up $1.5k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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