No 85% · Yes 16%. Smart money leans No (8 ranked wallets, average entry 83¢). Volume $33k, liquidity $36k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Side | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026? | SELL | Yes |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $253k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $247k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $225k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $157k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $146k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $113k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $100k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shaygai19121983 | Yes | 7k |
| AXIOSinsider | Yes | 1k |
| 0xaf5b…fb1d | Yes | 1k |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 812 |
| snipgoblin | Yes | 656 |
| paddaa | Yes | 638 |
| 0x9ddd…5ca4 | Yes | 605 |
| David28 | Yes | 527 |
| Oshri2080 | Yes | 509 |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 205 |
| anoin123 | No | 4k |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 2k |
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