Rafael Kis Balazs won. Smart money backed Nicolas Parizzia (2 ranked wallets, average entry 88¢) and lost. Volume $33k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Eagles 61% · Commanders 40% | $3.0M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 26% · IA, KS 11% · MI 1% | $1.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 72% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.2M |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) | Commanders 19% · Eagles 82% | $757k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $748k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x5803… | Rafael Kis Balazs | $245.71 |
| 0xd4b6… | Rafael Kis Balazs | $56.00 |
| alfonsopozzo | Rafael Kis Balazs | $44.88 |
| alvarotd | Rafael Kis Balazs | $34.40 |
| lydial0571 | Rafael Kis Balazs | $30.18 |
| 0x870a… | Rafael Kis Balazs | $21.11 |
| frenali | Rafael Kis Balazs | $20.01 |
| mamofaker24 | Rafael Kis Balazs | $19.20 |
| 0xbafd… | Rafael Kis Balazs | $18.06 |
| 0x615b… | Rafael Kis Balazs | $15.56 |
| asdfasdf333 | Rafael Kis Balazs | $8.40 |
| DarkMagician0700 | Rafael Kis Balazs | $8.16 |
48 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $571; the 25 biggest losers gave up $19k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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