Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes won. Smart money backed Lorenzo Claverie (2 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $4.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
CandleHammerDrums took +$337 on Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes from 85¢; the biggest loser gave up $601.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame | Miami (FL) 12% · Notre Dame 89% | $1.4M |
| Iowa vs. Northwestern | Iowa 90% · Northwestern 11% | $932k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 66% · Bilibili Gaming 20% · T1 17% | $771k |
| Nets vs. Hawks | Nets 54% · Hawks 46% | $767k |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | Knicks 70% · Cavaliers 30% | $724k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 45% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $615k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 100% · No 0% | $547k |
| Spread: Warriors (-7.5) | Warriors 77% · Magic 24% | $529k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $336.65 |
| 0xbfd7… | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $20.19 |
| JuliiaDiamond | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $18 |
| qrup | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $10.50 |
| Jxtoas | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $9.88 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $8.50 |
| uwu1234 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $7.84 |
| grotevis | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $4.40 |
| khojw | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $1.96 |
| VlokaFiel | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $1.80 |
| 0x6aaf… | Lorenzo Claverie | $0.75 |
| TimeForRevenge | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | $0.50 |
16 wallets held a position at the close. The 12 biggest winners took $421; the 4 biggest losers gave up $634. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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