Alexandre Aubriot won. Smart money backed Etienne Donnet (1 ranked wallet, average entry 82¢) and lost. Volume $1.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.2M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $6.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $3.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.2M |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 39% · Seahawks 62% | $624k |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 79% · Pacers 22% | $588k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Alexandre Aubriot | $22.14 |
| pcjones | Alexandre Aubriot | $12.11 |
| 0xakwz | Alexandre Aubriot | $11.95 |
| 0x6027… | Alexandre Aubriot | $10.27 |
| DimikG | Alexandre Aubriot | $3.74 |
| Eternum31 | Alexandre Aubriot | $2.76 |
| 0xb64f… | Alexandre Aubriot | $0.70 |
| grotevis | Etienne Donnet | −$50.00 |
| sara341 | Etienne Donnet | −$41 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Etienne Donnet | −$31.52 |
| phallusse | Alexandre Aubriot | −$8.09 |
| smartonly | Etienne Donnet | −$7.60 |
24 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $64; the 17 biggest losers gave up $187. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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