Sarah Van Emst won. Smart money backed Thea Marcu (3 ranked wallets, average entry 3¢) and lost. Volume $4.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 64% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 42% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $994k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz | Arthur Fils 8% · Taylor Fritz 92% | $908k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 55% · No 45% | $742k |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC | Ferencvárosi TC 86% · AC Milan 3% | $630k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $606k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| bigonze | Sarah Van Emst | $36.25 |
| makizinchers | Sarah Van Emst | $15.67 |
| 0x1318… | Sarah Van Emst | $1.92 |
| StarByStar | Sarah Van Emst | $1.58 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Thea Marcu | −$17.71 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Thea Marcu | −$1.41 |
| legendofanime | Thea Marcu | −$0.68 |
7 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $55; the 3 biggest losers gave up $20. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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