Yasmin Ezzat won. Smart money backed Karla Popovic (3 ranked wallets, average entry 49¢) and lost. Volume $609. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
m-4yhem took +$43 on Yasmin Ezzat from 52¢; the biggest loser gave up $54.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 45% · David Lisnard 14% · Édouard Philippe 10% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 8% · Ro Khanna 2% | $811k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $643k |
| Fed Decision in December? | No change 18% · 50+ bps decrease 0% | $627k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 63% · Bilibili Gaming 37% | $580k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $452k |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) | Bills 48% · Vikings 53% | $450k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $417k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| m-4yhem | Yasmin Ezzat | $43.14 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Yasmin Ezzat | $25.99 |
| PM4UAI | Yasmin Ezzat | $24.50 |
| VlokaFiel | Yasmin Ezzat | $24.27 |
| mattia84 | Yasmin Ezzat | $9.63 |
| HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH | Yasmin Ezzat | $7.44 |
| accont001 | Yasmin Ezzat | $6.03 |
| tagear | Yasmin Ezzat | $4.68 |
| tradegoose | Karla Popovic | $2.65 |
| psychiatric.orange | Yasmin Ezzat | $2.40 |
| v4test | Yasmin Ezzat | $2.04 |
| HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH | Karla Popovic | −$53.52 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $153; the 6 biggest losers gave up $116. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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