Fernando Ferrandis Gargallo won. Smart money backed Manuel Belda (2 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $242. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 64% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 43% · Bilibili Gaming 57% | $725k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $711k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $709k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz | Arthur Fils 23% · Taylor Fritz 78% | $680k |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax | AFC Ajax 69% · FC Midtjylland 8% | $558k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x6b25… | Fernando Ferrandis Gargallo | $27.85 |
| phallusse | Fernando Ferrandis Gargallo | $2.65 |
| 0xb491… | Manuel Belda | −$6 |
| dzodzoba777 | Manuel Belda | −$6 |
| 0x4efb… | Manuel Belda | −$3.00 |
| donkabadonka | Manuel Belda | −$0.50 |
6 wallets held a position at the close. The 2 biggest winners took $30; the 4 biggest losers gave up $15. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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