Michel Hopp won. Smart money backed Alexander Vasilev (2 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $1.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 8% · IA, KS 8% | $4.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $2.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 31% | $1.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Legacy 14% · TheMongolz 86% | $842k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $739k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xc07 | Michel Hopp | $212.20 |
| Irina1972 | Michel Hopp | $29.80 |
| NeedForDead | Michel Hopp | $23 |
| karrigan1994 | Michel Hopp | $20.50 |
| YjNKcGIyNHlNeTU0ZVhv | Michel Hopp | $11.82 |
| 0xedce… | Michel Hopp | $10.82 |
| 0xa789… | Michel Hopp | $10.82 |
| 0x6221… | Michel Hopp | $10.68 |
| lgSosa | Michel Hopp | $4.73 |
| pcjones | Michel Hopp | $2.92 |
| Ousi | Michel Hopp | $2.36 |
| bibikalka | Michel Hopp | $0.92 |
19 wallets held a position at the close. The 15 biggest winners took $343; the 4 biggest losers gave up $556. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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