Aaron Jinks won. Smart money backed Tanapatt Nirundorn (4 ranked wallets, average entry 92¢) and lost. Volume $4.7k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $4.3M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 77% · Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC) 20% · Liverpool FC 3% | $1.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.5M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 8% · Under 92% | $1.4M |
| Browns vs. Steelers | Browns 31% · Steelers 70% | $934k |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Steelers 55% · Browns 45% | $931k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 73% · Mike Rogers (R) 28% | $789k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 7figtc | Aaron Jinks | $68.80 |
| Rejoice6-Slum-Vexingly | Aaron Jinks | $28.44 |
| GGtobillos | Aaron Jinks | $4.49 |
| User7429 | Aaron Jinks | $2.94 |
| yorius27 | Tanapatt Nirundorn | −$1k |
| 0x95a4… | Tanapatt Nirundorn | −$522.20 |
| 0x58e8… | Tanapatt Nirundorn | −$284.23 |
| 0x0a5d… | Tanapatt Nirundorn | −$190.00 |
| wzyzj | Tanapatt Nirundorn | −$146.25 |
| 0xa55c… | Tanapatt Nirundorn | −$109.67 |
| babuinbob | Tanapatt Nirundorn | −$63.24 |
| 0x6027… | Tanapatt Nirundorn | −$41.85 |
49 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $105; the 45 biggest losers gave up $3.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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