Kuan-Yi Lee won. Smart money backed Makoto Ochi (3 ranked wallets, average entry 66¢) and lost. Volume $10k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $4.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.4M |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Natus Vincere 44% · Team Falcons 56% | $1.3M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti 80% · Hubert Hurkacz 20% | $881k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| leks1r | Kuan-Yi Lee | $304.75 |
| 0xzaky | Kuan-Yi Lee | $287.30 |
| Irina1972 | Kuan-Yi Lee | $230 |
| vsbetka | Kuan-Yi Lee | $181.26 |
| ltab233 | Kuan-Yi Lee | $158.33 |
| forki001 | Kuan-Yi Lee | $96.15 |
| arunannaveni | Kuan-Yi Lee | $45 |
| 0x8468… | Kuan-Yi Lee | $44.34 |
| heymmen | Kuan-Yi Lee | $19.38 |
| supertrader99 | Kuan-Yi Lee | $15.33 |
| ETH568123 | Kuan-Yi Lee | $11.40 |
| dummyricher | Kuan-Yi Lee | $11.28 |
53 wallets held a position at the close. The 25 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 28 biggest losers gave up $920. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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