Aristarkh Safonov won. Smart money backed Aryan Lakshmanan (1 ranked wallet, average entry 49¢) and lost. Volume $1.5k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · AK, IA, MI, OH 1% | $4.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $1.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 75% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $975k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $817k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $720k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 43% | $532k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| NeedForDead | Aristarkh Safonov | $39 |
| lopezmartin | Aristarkh Safonov | $11.26 |
| 0x4777… | Aristarkh Safonov | $2.45 |
| akirra | Aristarkh Safonov | $2.45 |
| 0x28a6… | Aristarkh Safonov | $0.90 |
| 0xef1e… | Aristarkh Safonov | $0.62 |
| 0xc07 | Aryan Lakshmanan | −$472.27 |
| lopezmartin | Aryan Lakshmanan | −$300.00 |
| eFMBS | Aryan Lakshmanan | −$83.33 |
| Danshan11 | Aryan Lakshmanan | −$45.24 |
| 0x6b25… | Aryan Lakshmanan | −$4.90 |
| AntiVaxxer | Aryan Lakshmanan | −$4.48 |
14 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $57; the 8 biggest losers gave up $916. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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