Yael Saffar won. Smart money backed Isha Manchala (1 ranked wallet, average entry 55¢) and lost. Volume $1.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 83% · AEK 8% | $3.0M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 22% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 64% · Fenerbahçe SK 17% | $989k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $769k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 17% · Jon Ossoff 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $675k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| uwu1234 | Yael Saffar | $88.87 |
| whatmoreuwantcadi | Yael Saffar | $49.37 |
| User7429 | Yael Saffar | $2.92 |
| VlokaFiel | Yael Saffar | $2.47 |
| 0x7272… | Yael Saffar | $2.33 |
| EYYYY | Yael Saffar | $1.50 |
| 0x4738… | Yael Saffar | $0.68 |
| ARTEM-DZYUBA | Yael Saffar | $0.65 |
| 0xfe08… | Isha Manchala | −$75.80 |
| Jxtoas | Isha Manchala | −$10.19 |
| gamblersden | Isha Manchala | −$8.30 |
| sportsdirect | Isha Manchala | −$3.60 |
13 wallets held a position at the close. The 8 biggest winners took $149; the 5 biggest losers gave up $101. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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