Beatris Spasova won. Smart money backed Polina Maneshina (3 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $3.8k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié | BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 66% · Real Betis Balompié 16% | $3.6M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.3M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 91% · SK Slavia Praha 7% | $1.3M |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli | FC Porto 51% · SSC Napoli 23% | $810k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $805k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| VTL777 | Beatris Spasova | $131.24 |
| bigonze | Beatris Spasova | $94.90 |
| 0x58f1… | Beatris Spasova | $2.92 |
| 0xa177… | Beatris Spasova | $2.60 |
| 0xakwz | Beatris Spasova | $2 |
| 0xc07 | Beatris Spasova | $1.28 |
| 0x9f16… | Polina Maneshina | $0.52 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Polina Maneshina | −$37.36 |
| alpheclabs2 | Polina Maneshina | −$6.84 |
| Ynkn | Polina Maneshina | −$2.52 |
| 0x6b25… | Polina Maneshina | −$2.25 |
| phallusse | Polina Maneshina | −$2.06 |
13 wallets held a position at the close. The 7 biggest winners took $235; the 6 biggest losers gave up $52. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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