Lucas Hammond won. Smart money backed Matthew Michibata (1 ranked wallet, average entry 36¢) and lost. Volume $972. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 63% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.7M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $1.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.1M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 35% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $712k |
| FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax | AFC Ajax 74% · FC Midtjylland 12% | $516k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 50% · Suns 51% | $484k |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 26% · No 74% | $466k |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 41% · Bilibili Gaming 60% | $464k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x6b25… | Lucas Hammond | $37.93 |
| JOS9 | Lucas Hammond | $17.20 |
| YEZA | Lucas Hammond | $16.28 |
| BigShark-706 | Lucas Hammond | $8.82 |
| psychiatric.orange | Lucas Hammond | $5.40 |
| sandpiper | Lucas Hammond | $3.89 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Lucas Hammond | $3.85 |
| User7429 | Lucas Hammond | $3.77 |
| signalso | Lucas Hammond | $2.79 |
| 0x9be8… | Lucas Hammond | $2.40 |
| 0xc47e… | Lucas Hammond | $2.34 |
| 0xb040… | Lucas Hammond | $2.20 |
20 wallets held a position at the close. The 13 biggest winners took $109; the 7 biggest losers gave up $168. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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