Ayumi Miyamoto won. Smart money backed Gaeul Jang (5 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $33k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.2M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $6.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.0M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $3.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.2M |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 39% · Seahawks 62% | $624k |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 79% · Pacers 22% | $588k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0284… | Ayumi Miyamoto | $549.20 |
| breadjr | Ayumi Miyamoto | $295.43 |
| toosmart | Ayumi Miyamoto | $222.60 |
| 0x4738… | Ayumi Miyamoto | $101.24 |
| Kirk76 | Ayumi Miyamoto | $88.68 |
| 0x8649… | Ayumi Miyamoto | $78.90 |
| SemSeer | Ayumi Miyamoto | $72.41 |
| Snipperbet | Ayumi Miyamoto | $66.87 |
| EZpoly-TT-TXMeng01 | Ayumi Miyamoto | $61.08 |
| sslavaga | Ayumi Miyamoto | $53.25 |
| gwapchaser | Ayumi Miyamoto | $53.13 |
| TTOPDOGG | Ayumi Miyamoto | $46.69 |
80 wallets held a position at the close. The 50 biggest winners took $2.0k; the 30 biggest losers gave up $974. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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